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Does buying a US stock that is up sharply on the day and near that day's high lose, against random entries the same day and the same name on other days? Pre-registered Backtrader backtest, 14 US trading sessions, 5-minute bars (2026) — verdict: FAIL. FAIL means the idea did not pass the study's pre-registered bar. It does not mean chasing loses: the study found no reliable evidence either way. Full text of the study, one read. A published study, not advice.

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